Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Democratic candidate Troy Jackson wins the highest number of first-choice (first-preference) votes in Hancock County, Maine, in the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate general election.

The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (including Republican incumbent Susan Collins or any independent/third-party candidate) receives more first-choice votes than Troy Jackson in Hancock County, or if Troy Jackson is not on the ballot.

Resolution will be determined using the official town-by-town or county-level tabulation data published by the Maine Secretary of State. If official state-level data is delayed, reputable election tracking sources (such as the Associated Press) may be used to project the county's winner, provided there is no active recount or dispute.

Background

In the 2026 midterm cycle, fifth-generation logger and former Maine Senate President Troy Jackson secured the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate. Jackson entered the race in July 2026 after the original primary winner, Graham Platner, withdrew from the contest. Jackson is running to unseat five-term Republican Senator Susan Collins. Hancock County, situated on Maine's coast and including communities such as Bar Harbor and Ellsworth, represents a critical battleground area for statewide candidates.

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