Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Democratic nominee James Talarico wins a plurality of votes cast in Tarrant County, Texas, in the November 2026 U.S. Senate general election.

This market resolves to NO if another candidate wins a plurality of votes in Tarrant County, if there is a tie, or if James Talarico is not on the general election ballot in Tarrant County.

Resolution will be determined using official, certified election results published by the Texas Secretary of State or the Tarrant County Elections Administration. If certified results are delayed, the market will remain open until official canvassed figures are released.

Background

In the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, State Representative James Talarico is the Democratic nominee running against Republican nominee and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. Tarrant County, home to Fort Worth, is a critical swing county in Texas statewide elections, having narrowly flipped between the parties in recent major cycles.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.