Which of the following users will stay active on manifold until EOY 2025?

Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Computer Science/AI Academics among Manifold users (permanent)

At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Will an AI system capable of doing 50% of knowledge job arrive by 2027?