[POLL] Yes/No markets: how often would you prefer to bet "up or down", vs "on a value"?
9
102Ṁ124resolved Jun 10
Resolved as
82%1H
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Complement to https://manifold.markets/Austin/poll-numeric-markets-how-often-woul
Today, all betting on Yes/No markets is "up or down"; all betting in Numeric markets is "on a value". We may want to support both mechanisms, but I'm curious to see what our default should be.
To participate, comment with a % representing how often you'd rather bet "higher or lower than current probability", rather than "a normal distribution around X".
Eg "80%" means "8 out of 10 times, I'd rather bet on 'higher than 17%' rather than 'normal distribution around 20%'"
This market resolves to the average % submitted across all responses.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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