Poll: Should you be able to input a bet as buying up to a probability/price?
Resolved
YES
Jun 20
M\$731 bet

# ðŸ’¬ Proven correct

Akhil Wable bought M\$500 of YES
YES
0
Jack is betting YES at 98%
Reminder that the poll closes 1 week after the market closes.
0
Akhil Wable bought M\$500 of YES
YES
0
Jack is betting YES at 87%
0
YES
0
TANSTAAFL bought M\$1 of YES
YES
0
YES
0
Jack is betting YES at 81%
Yeah, the interface I'm kind of imagining is you input your max investment amount in M\$ and/or your max price, and then the interface then shows you the remaining relevant information. In very deep markets most people will bet based on fund amounts, in shallow markets people might tend to bet based on prices. Sliders is an interesting idea, I do find myself doing a lot of up/down adjusting by tweaking the M\$ numbers so having a slider actually could be better for that.
0
Austin bought M\$10 of YES
YES, with a a few caveats: - in deep markets getting to a specified probability may be unexpectedly expensive - not sure about what the ideal UX is; having more options for people to input places makes things more complex. - a twist on this is adjusting the graph itself https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Proposal-Slide-to-bet-c649ab13a8c24ef8bcbee78c2c618956
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joy_void_joy bought M\$1 of YES
YES Meta note: I think polls should also include an ABSTAIN option to cancel out a previous vote.
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Jack bought M\$10 of YES
@JoyVoid Good point, if someone commented that I would respect their choice, and I'll explicitly add that to the resolution criteria for next time.
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howtodowtle bought M\$44 of YES
YES. Right now, that's what I am doing in most markets (reverse-finding the amount of shares I need to/can buy to get the market probability to my estimate). Although I believe this is less relevant in markets with very large betting pools where one single non-whale bettor does not have enough betting power to move the price all the way to their estimate.
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Angela bought M\$30 of YES
YES
0
YES!
0