How will Manifold loans work at the end of March?
25
1.3kṀ1488resolved Apr 29
100%38%
Exactly as first implemented
1.8%Other
5%
As first implemented, with a different loan amount
1.3%
No longer automatic
0.5%
Removed entirely from Manifold
6%
The same, but with an option to not use them
2%
With significant differences such a positive interest rate
14%
Loan limit improves with your performance to boost long-term accuracy.
1.5%
Add the ability to pay real money to increase your loan amount.
29%
Markets with resolve dates farther in the future are eligible for larger loans
0.9%
High probability bets (eg YES on a 95% market) are eligible for larger loans
On March 1st, we implemented the ability to automatically take out interest-free loans on the first M$ 20 on each market, inspired by a @ScottAlexander proposal https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/play-money-and-reputation-systems
There's been some community discussion over the mechanics of this; this market is a place to express your thoughts on which direction to take this feature.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ613 | |
2 | Ṁ118 | |
3 | Ṁ42 | |
4 | Ṁ42 | |
5 | Ṁ36 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold offer loans to users throughout 2025 ?
91% chance
Will Manifold start charging interest on outstanding loans before 2031?
6% chance
When will Manifold run out of money?
Will Manifold start charging interest on loans before 2031?
13% chance
What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back?