Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?
10
Ṁ255Ṁ1492100
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
Catalonia
67%
Scotland
16%
Quebec
This market resolves to the first of the three regions which has an internationally recognized independent government. "Internationally recognized" means that they recieve diplomatic recognition from at least one current permanent member of the UN security council, or any widely recognized successor governments to such members. (Thus, Russia/France/China/US/UK).
The government must claim to primarily be the government of Catalonia/Scotland/Quebec.
This question will not close until the resolution criteria is satisfied by one of the regions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
15% chance
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
30% chance
Which of these countries will be the first independent?
Will Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
5% chance
Will Catalonia hold a referendum on independence from Spain before the end of 2029?
28% chance
Will Catalonia leave Spain before 2040?
22% chance
Will Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
9% chance
Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2030?
Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2050?