Which of Catalonia, Scotland, or Quebec will achieve independence first?
10
255Ṁ1442100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
17%
Catalonia
68%
Scotland
15%
Quebec
This market resolves to the first of the three regions which has an internationally recognized independent government. "Internationally recognized" means that they recieve diplomatic recognition from at least one current permanent member of the UN security council, or any widely recognized successor governments to such members. (Thus, Russia/France/China/US/UK).
The government must claim to primarily be the government of Catalonia/Scotland/Quebec.
This question will not close until the resolution criteria is satisfied by one of the regions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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