MANIFOLD
What will happen during the next Claude Plays Pokemon run?
9
Ṁ625Ṁ432
May 12
86%
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni
86%
Finishes Pokemon Mansion
86%
Opus 4.6 is playing
75%
Finishes Virdian Forest before step 838
75%
Beats Brock before step 1874
75%
Finishes Mt. Moon before step 3192
75%
Stores an item in the PC
75%
Finishes first Victory Road boulder puzzle
74%
Defeats Erika before step 29,643
65%
Beats Misty before step 4819
65%
Defeats Surge before step 5969
65%
Finishes Rock Tunnel before step 7998
65%
Gets the lift key before step 17169
65%
Defeats Koga before step 83,715
65%
Defeats Sabrina before step 81,500
65%
Defeats Blaine before step 204,059
62%
Reaches Victory Road before step 206,038
50%
Gets the Lapras in Silph Co.
48%
Run ends/is reset because new Claude version is released
47%
Defeats the champion

https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon

Claude Plays Pokemon is a Twitch stream where the AI chatbot Claude attempts to beat Pokemon Red. Once the game is reset, all remaining answers resolve NO, even if the stream continues with a new game.

I am N/Aing anything that is annoying to resolve. If I have to pore over multiple days of twitch VODs to figure out which way an answer resolves, I am not going to bother.

I will not bet in this market.

Markets for previous runs:

https://manifold.markets/JoshSnider/what-will-happen-during-the-fifth-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-third-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-second

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-claude-play-0ZnSuI95EO

https://manifold.markets/Anthem/what-will-happen-during-claude-opus

In the event that I jumped the gun and the next run isn't playing Pokemon Red, I may resolve all N/A.

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