https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon
Claude Plays Pokemon is a Twitch stream where the AI chatbot Claude attempts to beat Pokemon Red. Once the game is reset, all remaining answers resolve NO, even if the stream continues with a new game.
I am N/Aing anything that is annoying to resolve. If I have to pore over multiple days of twitch VODs to figure out which way an answer resolves, I am not going to bother.
I will not bet in this market.
Markets for previous runs:
https://manifold.markets/JoshSnider/what-will-happen-during-the-fifth-r
https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-third-r
https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-second
https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-claude-play-0ZnSuI95EO
https://manifold.markets/Anthem/what-will-happen-during-claude-opus
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ911 | |
| 2 | Ṁ516 | |
| 3 | Ṁ442 | |
| 4 | Ṁ197 | |
| 5 | Ṁ197 |
People are also trading
@AhronMaline I intended “while Seafoam is his immediate goal”. I initially posted “in Seafoam Islands” but edited to this wording to account for digging and then immediately returning.
@moobunny looks like this might actually happen. He tried to use the Diglett's Cave route but got blocked by a Cut tree he couldn't find, and now he's walked all the way back to Fuschia.
@AhronMaline It’ll be interesting seeing if he gets stuck on it while he has meaningful alternatives. Especially because 4.6 is better at giving up when things are frustrating. Maybe he’ll get stuck in a loop of alternately trying Diglett’s Cave and Seafoam?
@moobunny Looking at the walkthrough, I'm actually pretty sure he'll get through Seafoam. The only really hard puzzle is the one that unlocks Articuno. Digging actually works in Claude's favor here - it gets him back to the top floor where the boulders are.
@Anthem The step counts make this clear, but I thought I should point out that the language is confusing here - I would interpret "95% faster" as meaning "almost twice as fast" and then "a little over half the time (1/1.95 = 51.3%)". But you're meaning it as 5% of the time it took 4.5. So you should consider the wording on this sort of question in the future.
