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MANIFOLD
What will happen during Claude Opus 4.7 Plays Pokemon?
36
Ṁ1.6kṀ15k
Oct 10
16%
Gets trapped in a Cycling Road pocket without fly
15%
Gets HM02 (Fly)
14%
Records at least 100 unique Pokemon in the Pokedex (caught/evolved, not just seen)
13%
Stores an item in the PC
10%
Run ends/is reset because new Claude version is released
9%
Run ends to reset with a model not branded as Haiku, Sonnet, or Opus
7%
Any kind of intentional rollback due to the video issues
Resolved
YES
Defeats Surge before step 5,969
Resolved
YES
Defeats Erika before step 29,643
Resolved
YES
Gets the lift key before step 9,615
Resolved
YES
Defeats the champion
Resolved
YES
Defeats Koga before step 19,086
Resolved
YES
Defeats Blaine before step 29,925
Resolved
YES
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni before step 30,275
Resolved
YES
Finishes first Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto 1F switch) before step 35,911
Resolved
YES
Full team of 6 pokemon
Resolved
YES
Gets HM05 (Flash)
Resolved
YES
Gets the Bicycle
Resolved
YES
Visits Seafoam Islands

https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon

Claude Plays Pokemon is a Twitch stream where the AI chatbot Claude attempts to beat Pokemon Red. Once the game is reset, all remaining answers resolve NO, even if the stream continues with a new game.

I am N/Aing anything that is annoying to resolve. If I have to pore over multiple days of twitch VODs to figure out which way an answer resolves, I am not going to bother.

I will not bet in this market.

Markets for previous runs:

https://manifold.markets/JoshSnider/what-will-happen-during-the-fifth-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-third-r

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-second

https://manifold.markets/SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-claude-play-0ZnSuI95EO

https://manifold.markets/Anthem/what-will-happen-during-claude-opus

https://manifold.markets/Anthem/what-will-happen-during-the-next-cl

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bought Ṁ158 YES

@Anthem Claude is catching Pokémon at Safari Zone

bought Ṁ146 YES

@lookoutbelow 1002 viewers at the moment of victory

@Anthem Did dev ever clarify if he did anything when it went down on Victory Road?

@JoshSnider they have not said. This is the only comment we got from them upon stream restoring. The step count went up by a few hundred whilst the stream was down, which definitely means either the game was not progressing for long after the stream went down, or there was a rollback, but we haven't been told which.

@JoshSnider This resolves yes.

bought Ṁ40 YES

According to reddit, he had solved the last puzzle just before the stream went down!

@AhronMaline There is a fourth boulder puzzle and I don't think it was solved?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Anthem ah, my bad. I was also wrong about the third one being needed for Moltres, leading me to think he had done that one before, so that the news must be about the last one. Actually Moltres was before solving third puzzle.

@Anthem the stream is down now - the whole thing, not just frozen video. Does that count?

@AhronMaline

I somehow didn't consider that this would happen.

Wording-wise it's ambiguous if this counts as a freeze, but spiritually this is just a worsening of the freeze issue, so I'm going to resolve yes.

bought Ṁ20 YES

Accorning to comments on the stream, he's already fought and killed Moltres (which implied he solved the 3F puzzle, correct?)

bought Ṁ231 YES

All the VR first-boulder-puzzle questions resolve YES

Claude entered VR on step 27000, and put the boulder on the switch at step 27254, and the stream was down.

@Anthem This resolves yes on step 26,741.

And the video is still down

bought Ṁ60 YES

Got Secret Key at step 25,845. Video stream is down again.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Anthem passed 25k

@Anthem this counts from the first time he stepped in, correct?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Anthem 20k passed. Stuck in Silph Co

bought Ṁ20 YES

He actually looked for the PC to deposit items! But he coyldn't find it and gave up. However, in order to progress he will need to catch a pokemon that can learn Surf and then find the PC to take it out. So he likely will deposit items then too.

bought Ṁ30 NO

@Anthem he tossed the Dig TM to make roomnin his bag for the Strength HM

He got both Surf and Gold Teeth. But Idk what number attempt this was.

bought Ṁ5 YES

Also don't know whether he caught anything in Safari Zone - he was throwing some balls by accident

@AhronMaline I believe that was attempt #6!

bought Ṁ40 NO

@Anthem passed 15k steps