Resolution criteria

• This market resolves to the candidate who officially receives the presidential nomination of the Republican Party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election.

• The primary source of truth will be the official vote tally conducted at the 2028 Republican National Convention (RNC) as certified by RNC officials and reported by major news outlets (e.g., AP News or the official Republican National Committee website).

• Background

• Following the 2024 presidential election, early speculation for the 2028 Republican primary field centers on prominent administration figures, governors, and congressional leaders.

• Key figures frequently discussed include:

  • JD Vance: Vice President of the United States. Sitting or recent vice presidents have historically been standard front-runners for their party's nomination.

  • Marco Rubio: Appointed Secretary of State in the second Trump administration, previously a U.S. Senator from Florida and 2016 primary contender.

  • Ron DeSantis: Governor of Florida and runner-up in the 2024 Republican primary debates and early primaries.

  • Byron Donalds: U.S. Representative representing Florida's 19th congressional district.

  • Donald Trump Jr.: Businessman, political activist, and prominent figure within the MAGA movement.

  • Tucker Carlson: Media personality, host, and influential commentator in conservative politics.

  • Brandon Gill: U.S. Representative from Texas's 26th congressional district and founder of the DC Enquirer.