Will the Venezuela–Guyana crisis lead to a conflict with over 1000 military deaths by the end of 2024?
13
1kṀ9222resolved Jan 7
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on Wikipedia estimates of military casualties.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ188 | |
| 2 | Ṁ59 | |
| 3 | Ṁ27 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Conditional on a Venezuela-Guyana conflict by 2024, which countries are going to militarily intervene by 2024 year end?
If Venezuela invades Guyana, will any other country intervene militarily?
80% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
52% chance
Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2026?
11% chance
[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
70% chance
Will there be a Regional War involving 3 or more countries in South America by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
7% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
18% chance
Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
86% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
25% chance