
Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
14
1kṀ20132026
7%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Kazakhstan join NATO by 2033?
13% chance
Will Belarus be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Kazakhstan experience mass mobilization, for any reasons, before end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Kazakhstan be classified as a "hybrid regime" by 2025?
26% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
23% chance
Will a military conflict break out between Russia and Kazakhstan in the next five years?
10% chance
Will powerful (magnitude 8.0 or more) earthquake hit city of Almaty (this is a city in Kazakhstan) before end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Ukraine liberate 85% of its 3 regions out of 5 currently controlled by Russia by the 31th of August?
1% chance