Will Kazakhstan be at least partly free by end of 2025?
11
261
190
2026
17%
chance

Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.

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i don’t have good priors/info on this but i like that the ai generated a sign that just says MOSOW