
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
8
90Ṁ213Jan 1
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to Freedom House's Freedom in the World survey. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative freedom index. Since the report covering 2022 was published on March 9, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 3 months into 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2025?
91% chance
Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
12% chance
Will Turkey remain a member of NATO by 2030?
84% chance
Will there be a civil war in Turkey before 2035?
28% chance
Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
17% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
68% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
75% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Turkey become a member state of the EU
30% chance
Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)
59% chance