When will METR release the next AI on the Time Horizon chart?
0
2026
December
January
February
March
Later this year
Poll Description:
When will METR add the next AI system to their Time Horizon chart?
METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research) maintains a Time Horizon chart that tracks AI capabilities over time. This poll resolves based on when METR officially adds the next AI model to this chart.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI release a new frontier text AI model "next week" (dec8-dec14)?
85% chance
Will a Google model lead METR's task duration chart by EOY?
20% chance
Model with METR time horizon ≥8 hours released in 2026?
68% chance
Will the METR long-horizons have a >6 month doubling time for at least a 4 month period before 2026?
60% chance
Will a model achieve a METR 50% time-horizon of 4+ hours by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon?
64% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
54% chance
R2's METR 50% time horizon
Best AI time horizon by February 2026, per METR?