When will METR release the next AI on the Time Horizon chart?
6
Dec 9
December
January
February
March
Later this year
Poll Description:
When will METR add the next AI system to their Time Horizon chart?
METR (Model Evaluation & Threat Research) maintains a Time Horizon chart that tracks AI capabilities over time. This poll resolves based on when METR officially adds the next AI model to this chart.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Best AI time horizon by February 2026, per METR?
Best METR 50% Time Horizon in 2026
February 2026 AI releases
What will be the METR time horizon doubling time in 2026?
Will GPT-5.2 surpass 3 hours in METR time horizon?
97% chance
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon that is an 1 hour and 30 minutes by September 2026?
84% chance
Model with METR time horizon ≥8 hours released in 2026?
96% chance
What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
What will be the METR AI coding uplift multiple in 2026?