What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2028?
5
150Ṁ932028
6%
8-16 hours
10%
16-32 hours
14%
32-64 hours
30%
64-128 hours
35%
128+ hours
6%
<8 hours
The naive extrapolation from the original paper would be around 32 hours. If METR decides to stop publishing the benchmark or there is some other problem, I will mark as N/A.
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