MANIFOLD
Will METR retire the 50% Time Horizon by EOY 2026
6
Ṁ100Ṁ220
2027
14%
chance

This market will resolve Yes if METR removes or no longer updates the 50% Time Horizon from their Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models benchmark.

A public statement from METR that they will no longer officially track their 50% time horizon will count

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Related Market. The resolution criteria is a bit different so I will keep this market up

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