What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
2
125Ṁ532027
9%
4-8 Hours
23%
8-16 Hours
42%
16-32 Hours
17%
32-64 Hours
9%
The naive extrapolation from the original paper would be around 8 hours. If METR decides to stop publishing the benchmark or there is some other problem, I will mark as N/A.
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