What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
8
Ṁ125Ṁ3572027
5%
4-8 Hours
7%
8-16 Hours
54%
16-32 Hours
29%
32-64 Hours
4%
The naive extrapolation from the original paper would be around 8 hours. If METR decides to stop publishing the benchmark or there is some other problem, I will mark as N/A.
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