What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
5
125Ṁ75
2027
12%
4-8 Hours
17%
8-16 Hours
32%
16-32 Hours
31%
32-64 Hours
7%
Other

The naive extrapolation from the original paper would be around 8 hours. If METR decides to stop publishing the benchmark or there is some other problem, I will mark as N/A.

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