Will METR add any data point on the graph before this year?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ32Dec 31
63%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The first graph on this page.
https://metr.org/time-horizons/
To resolve YES, a new data point after Claude Mythos Preview must be added before 2026 ends.
A data point for an older model counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Best METR 80% Time Horizon before October 2026
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Best METR 80% Time Horizon in 2026
What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2027?
Best METR 50% Time Horizon in 2026
Which lab will be first to get to 20 hours on the METR graph?
What will the frontier METR time horizon be on January 1, 2028?
What will be the METR time horizon doubling time in 2026?
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
89% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
97% chance
