
Will a nuclear weapon cause over 10,000 deaths in 2023?
34
690Ṁ5151resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
inclusing tests
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ23 | |
2 | Ṁ22 | |
3 | Ṁ19 | |
4 | Ṁ12 | |
5 | Ṁ10 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
41% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
19% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be used by 2030
36% chance
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance