When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?
16
700αΉ15732031
61%
2025
14%
2026
4%
2027
4%
2028
1.7%
2029
1.4%
2030
1.3%
2024
12%
The resolve year will be the year I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion. I will try my best to be impartial, and I will use my judgement.
(edit: once I started noticing a majority of the comments in the market argue that AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, I will conduct a poll on Manifold asking if AI is at least as big a political issue as abortion, and resolve Yes to the year if the poll has more vote on Yes than No)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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