When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?
8
520Ṁ24122027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Before the end of Jan 2025
6%
Before the end of Feb 2025
5%
Before the end of Mar 2025
59%
Before the end of Apr 2025
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets (coindesk.com)
>>> Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.
I will use my judgement on what counts as major new policy. I would consider allowing any kind of political market on Kalshi a major new policy.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Wall St firm use prediction markets as an investment vehicle by July 14 2025
73% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
64% chance
Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
33% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
18% chance
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
51% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will 60 Minutes release an episode featuring prediction markets?
21% chance
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?