Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
10
closes 2030
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/how-to-legalize-prediction-markets
Will resolve N/A if prediction markets don't become mostly legal in the US by 2030.
Jan 31, 1:49am: Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, is it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind? → Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
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Related markets
If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?44%
Will any prediction market clearly elicit knowledge about an important event that was otherwise unknown to the public before 2025?80%
Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?27%
If Tetraspace makes a bunch of personal prediction markets before end Apr 2023, will they regret it by end Dec 2023?5%
Will I think using prediction markets in my day-to-day will have made me a better thinker by 2024?77%