Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
Basic
7
Ṁ912027
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?
Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
This question is answered "No" if there is:
no military conflict between the two parties
a limited military conflict without triggering a major war
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
21% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
34% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
33% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
34% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
26% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
29% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2024?
4% chance