Will at least 7 of the new Effective Altruism university groups in the Netherlands still be active in June 2024?
51%
chance
Here, active is defined as:
- 2 organizers putting in at least 5 hours a week each
- at least 15 people finished an intro fellowship in 2023-2024
- 4 people per group attended at least 1 EAG(x) conference in 2024
@MichaelWheatley not sure what you mean, sorry! Can you elaborate?
0
@Amarins I think he's asking how many EA university groups there are in the Netherlands at the moment?
0
@Amarins Yeah, how many "new Effective Altruism university groups" are there? Is 7 a lot or a little?
0
@MichaelWheatley oh gotcha, thanks! There are 10 being set up (and there is 1 mature & active one right now) in the Netherlands.
0
Play-money betting
Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 56% to 51%
a month ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 61% to 56%
a month ago
A trader bought M$30 of YES from 49% to 61%
a month ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 58% to 49%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of YES from 50% to 58%
2 months ago
A trader sold M$5 of NO from 48% to 50%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 57% to 48%
2 months ago
A trader sold M$4 of NO from 55% to 57%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of NO from 65% to 55%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 71% to 65%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of NO from 76% to 71%
2 months ago
A trader sold M$9 of YES from 78% to 76%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of YES from 76% to 78%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$5 of NO from 79% to 76%
2 months ago
A trader bought M$100 of YES from 50% to 79%
2 months ago
Play-money betting
Mana (M$) is the play-money used by our platform to keep track of your bets. It's completely free for you and your friends to get started!