Will at least 7 of the new Effective Altruism university groups in the Netherlands still be active in June 2024?
13
Ṁ443Ṁ144
2024
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ15 +54%
New probability
66% +2%
Here, active is defined as:
- 2 organizers putting in at least 5 hours a week each
- at least 15 people finished an intro fellowship in 2023-2024
- 4 people per group attended at least 1 EAG(x) conference in 2024
Get Ṁ500 play money
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@Amarins I think he's asking how many EA university groups there are in the Netherlands at the moment?
@Amarins Yeah, how many "new Effective Altruism university groups" are there? Is 7 a lot or a little?
Amarinspredicts YES
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