Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
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2125
15%
Growing fetuses in synthetic uteruses replaces pregnancy as the norm by 2055
29%
Touch screens, keyboards and handheld devices will be replaced with motion capture and AR by 2045
68%
Developed nations will soon stop legally or socially enforcing monogamy, with polyamory becoming more accepted
45%
Self-driving cars will become the norm and human driving will be illegal except in emergencies by 2045
25%
Combustion engines will become obsolete by 2040
68%
Slaughtering animals for food will go out of fashion and be outlawed by 2125
87%
Cash will become extinct and replaced with digital alternatives by 2040
59%
Advanced imaging technology for daily health checks will become standard in households by 2050
69%
Human delivery workers will soon be replaced by drones
69%
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085
64%
Smart homes will be made obsolete by advanced robots by 2085
20%
VR will remain a niche technology by 2085
31%
The quantum internet will fade into obscurity by 2085

Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"

I've tried to summarize and fairly represent Sabine's predictions but I'm definitely open to any changes that might need to be made. Most predictions specified a year but for the monogamy/polyamory one and the drone deliveries one she just said "soon". For any other predictions with no time frame I've just assumed 2085.

A asked Claude 3.5 Sonnet for some quantifiable metrics for each prediction and they seemed like a good start. Would be really interested if Sabine would sign off on these:

  • Synthetic uteruses: By 2055, at least 50% of pregnancies will use artificial wombs.

  • Touch screens and handheld devices: By 2045, 80% of personal computing devices will use motion capture or AR interfaces instead of touch screens.

  • Enforced monogamy: By 2040, 90% of developed nations will have laws recognizing and protecting non-monogamous relationships.

  • Autonomous vehicles: By 2045, 95% of personal vehicles on the road will be self-driving, with manual driving restricted to emergency situations.

  • Combustion engines: By 2040, 90% of new vehicles sold will be electric or use alternative energy sources.

  • Eating animals: By 2125, consumption of mammalian meat will decrease by 95% compared to current levels and be outlawed in a majority of countries.

  • Cash: By 2040, 99% of transactions in developed countries will be digital.

  • Full body scans: By 2050, 70% of households will have access to advanced medical imaging devices for regular health checks.

  • Delivery services: By 2040, 80% of last-mile deliveries will be performed by drones.

  • Supersonic planes: By 2085, 20% of long-haul commercial flights will use supersonic aircraft.

  • Smart homes: By 2085, 60% of households will have multi-purpose robotic assistants, replacing the need for individual smart appliances.

  • Virtual reality: By 2085, full immersion VR will be used by less than 10% of the population on a regular basis.

  • Quantum internet: By 2085, less than 1% of network infrastructure will use quantum technology.

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