Have OpenAI achieved AGI internally?
99
1.5kṀ21kresolved Jul 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://x.com/Simeon_Cps/status/1706078819617063304?s=20
Resolves YES if it's revealed that OpenAI had achieved AGI internally before the creation of this market.
I'll use OpenAI's AGI definition: "By AGI, we mean highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work.".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ100 | |
| 2 | Ṁ87 | |
| 3 | Ṁ61 | |
| 4 | Ṁ52 | |
| 5 | Ṁ46 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?
83% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
40% chance
Will OpenAI abandon the goal of building AGI before 2030?
13% chance
Will OpenAI "merge and assist" before building AGI? (closes 2030)
14% chance
At the start of 2030 will I believe that OpenAI had AGI in 2024?
10% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
Did OpenAI make a breakthrough in Q* learning dramatically shortening AGI timelines?
22% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
63% chance
Will the breakthrough(s) mentioned in the OpenAI board letter go to history as a pivotal step on the path to AGI?
56% chance