Who will be the next president of France?
117
4.5kṀ26k
2028
26%
Jordan Bardella
17%
Gabriel Attal
12%
Édouard Philippe
9%
Marine Le Pen
8%
Other
5%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
5%
Raphaël Glucksmann
2%
Marine Tondelier
2%
Michel Barnier
1.9%
Christine Lagarde
1.7%
Dominique de Villepin
1.2%
Gérard Larcher

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 YES

How does this question resolve if the next president of France does not take office in 2027?

@BrunoParga In such situation I will wait untill next French president takes office to resolve the question. (Eg. If a virus postpone the election untill 2028).

@AlexandreHelicoidee and before? Like, suppose Macron goes "hrnngh" tomorrow and dies of a heart attack over his desk at the Elysée. Does the question cover that?

I think I should have opened with this: the "in 2027“ part of the question adds ambiguity by prompting these questions. It seems to me the question is "who will be the next President of France", just that, isn't it so?

@BrunoParga Yup, badly formulated question, not confident in resolution.

@BrunoParga Hello, you are right : I should have used "Who will be the next president of France?". Thank you for spotting this mistake, I just updated the question.

But no problem if Macron dies or resigns before 2027 : there will be a new president of France in 2027 anyway.

@AlexandreHelicoidee merci, ça me semble plus logique ☺️

Et si Macron meure demain, peut-être le Président élu en '27 n'est pas le prochain 🤔

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules