Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
6
100Ṁ1012029
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US. If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES. A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO. If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2030?
14% chance
Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?
86% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
24% chance
Will territory change hands between Georgia (in the Caucasus) and separatists/Russia before Sep 2026
34% chance
Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
35% chance
Will Chechenya be a sovereign state before 2040?
28% chance
Russia attacks NATO by 2030?
24% chance
Will a major battle be fought in the Caspian Sea before 2040?
33% chance
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2050?
29% chance
Will relations between Ukraine and Russia normalize by 2040?
23% chance