MANIFOLD
Cuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
16
Ṁ1kṀ3.5k
Dec 31
24%
Captured
7%
Killed
69%
Neither

If he dies in captivity, only captivity resolves YES.

  • Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Captured or killed by anyone counts for YES resolution, including:

    • Internal rebels

    • US special forces

    • Cuban law enforcement

    • Any other party

Market context
Venezuela Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 55% order

1k on NEITHER at 55%, potentially more available

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2026/01/addressing-threats-to-the-united-states-by-the-government-of-cuba/

bought Ṁ50 YES

@creator Can you specify captured or killed by whom?

@prismatic doesn't matter. If a head of state is captured or killed by anyone it's very significant. No matter if for example it's by internal rebels, US special forces or Cuban law enforcement, it's all YES stuff.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy