Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates
18
66
800
2030
98%
July 1, 2024
96%
Jan 1, 2025
91%
October 1, 2024
88%
Jan 1, 2026
84%
Jan 1, 2027
76%
Jan 1, 2028
50%
Jan 1, 2029
44%
Jan 1, 2030

Using Wikipedia’s characterization of the government type to resolve: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba

For clarity, communist in this case means Marxist-Lennist: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_socialist_states

Each year will resolve individually, so if the government changes form in 2026 and then stays the same from there on out, the both Jan 1, 2027 and the following years will resolve as NO.

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reposted

Some good arbitrage available here - Oct 1, 2024 trading significantly lower than July 1 2024 or Jan 1 2025

Added June 30, 2024 and Oct 1, 2024 just to give us something nearer term.

@jdilla Edited June 30 to July 1 prior to any bets coming in.