MANIFOLD
Ali Khamenei confirmed dead or captured before March 7th (market close time)
14
Ṁ1kṀ922
Mar 7
62%
chance

There must be official confirmation by government representatives (Iran, US, Israel are the obvious ones) that Khamenei was either captured or killed. Rumors or speculation by news sources doesn't count.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/israeli-tv-report-citing-unnamed-israeli-sources-growing-indications-that-khamenei-killed/

I suspect that official confirmation might be what's gonna matter most for this to happen within the market's timeframe.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy