
Will Neuralink begin recruitment for the clinical trial of its brain implants by the end of Jun 15, 2023?
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Will Neuralink begin recruitment for the clinical trial of its brain implants by the end of Jul 15, 2023?48%
By what year will non-invasive brain-computer interfaces for general consumers be used by more than 1 million people?2037
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Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?21%
Will a US Department of Energy high performance computing cluster be used to train a foundation model of more than 500B or more by January 1st 2025?37%
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?28%
By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?78%
Related markets
Will Neuralink begin recruitment for the clinical trial of its brain implants by the end of Jul 15, 2023?48%
By what year will non-invasive brain-computer interfaces for general consumers be used by more than 1 million people?2037
Will there be a text and/or image generating NN with at least 175 billion parameters that is open source by end of 2023?57%
Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?21%
Will a US Department of Energy high performance computing cluster be used to train a foundation model of more than 500B or more by January 1st 2025?37%
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?28%
By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?78%