Will Neuralink begin recruitment for the clinical trial of its brain implants by the end of Jun 15, 2023?
10
closes Jun 17
25%
chance

Related:

Related markets

Will Neuralink begin recruitment for the clinical trial of its brain implants by the end of Jul 15, 2023?48%
Will a Neuralink device be implanted in a human brain by the end of 2023?18%
Will a Neuralink device be implanted in a human brain by the end of 2024?60%
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?22%
Will Neuralink IPO in 2023?4%
Will I be using a brain-computer interface in my daily life by 2030?32%
By what year will non-invasive brain-computer interfaces for general consumers be used by more than 1 million people?2037
Will humans send AND receive a message telepathically via brain machine interface before 2026?39%
Will model surgery be widely used for AI control by 2027?38%
Will there be a text and/or image generating NN with at least 175 billion parameters that is open source by end of 2023?57%
Will more than 20 organizations publicly train large language models by 2024?55%
Will any AI startup founded during 2023 get more than $1B in funding during 2023?12%
Will Mark Zuckerbergs prediction of being able to "send messages with your mind" by 01/01/2028 be correct?21%
What is the best wording to the question "Will NN training be significantly distributed in 2026?"
Will a US Department of Energy high performance computing cluster be used to train a foundation model of more than 500B or more by January 1st 2025?37%
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?28%
Will >50% of the US population own a Vision Pro or other mixed reality headset in 2028?11%
Registry AND Firmware (No) → More than 10 frontier AI labs before 2030?50%
By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?78%
Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?85%