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Data source used to resolve this market: https://pris.iaea.org/pris/home.aspx
̶C̶u̶r̶r̶e̶n̶t̶l̶y̶ As of market creation,3 plants have been connected
YES = if 3 more are connected by the end of this year.
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Kakrapar unit 4 has reached criticality. Not sure what the timetable would be for grid connection. https://twitter.com/DAEIndia/status/1736352521957101682?t=Lz2ftvc0MLsAxIY_PMdZKg&s=19
This has happened in 8 of the last 10 years, and we are halfway there with more than half the year to go. Vogtle 4 has a decent chance of grid connection by the end of the year, Kakrapar 4 is a possibility, as is Rajasthan 7, and Fangchenggang 4. Barakah 4 seems very likely. Japan has a stated plan to start 7 units by summer 2023, though at most 2 of those will be new (Shimane-3 and Ohma). There are probably others in various countries but I'm not looking them all up.
@ErickBall also looks like Belarusian/Ostrovets 2 connected to the grid a couple days ago and the website hasn't been updated yet.