Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
Plus
30
Ṁ31672030
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This only resolves yes if there's a news article saying that a plant was planned to start because of AI demand - anything that was already scheduled before the LLM boom cannot count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JesWolfe you should put this in the description because this is very very different from an entirely new plant.
@Philip3773733 if Three Mile has been decommissioned for my entire lifetime, and it comes back online, there is no meaningful sense in which that is “the same” plant, is there?
@JesWolfe the reactor that is now being renewed was shut down in 2019
https://www.kpbs.org/news/2019/sep/20/three-mile-island-nuclear-power-plant-shuts-down/
@Philip3773733 oh. hmmm. well, in the unlikely event that this actually happens I will make a judgement call
Related questions
Related questions
Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?
72% chance
Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?
33% chance
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
58% chance
Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?
35% chance
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
28% chance
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
43% chance
Will AI seriously undermine nuclear deterrence before 2030?
35% chance
Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028?
82% chance
Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?
33% chance
Will there be an airstrike on a datacenter before 2035?
34% chance