How much new US nuclear capacity by 2032?
5
1kṀ3652032
28%
<2 GW
32%
2-5 GW
19%
5-10 GW
13%
10-20 GW
9%
20+ GW
This will resolve to the total electric power capacity of all new OR reopened nuclear reactors in the United States of America between market open (February 2025) and January 1, 2032.
Civilian only
Reactors shut down after Feb 2025 don't subtract from this figure
Upgrades to existing active reactors don't count
Must be operational and sending electricity to grid or end user as of Jan 1, 2032
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@DavidSavage good question! I won't count uprates. (Re)building new nuclear in the US is hard and slow and I am interested in whether it can happen in the near term, as are others I imagine.
Some uprates are kind of significant. 8 GW of total uprates from 1977 to 2021.
Related questions
Related questions
How many US nuclear reactors will reopen by 2030?
How much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2035?
87% chance
Nuclear power production increases in USA 2023-2033
72% chance
Will another nuclear reactor begin operation in the U.S. before 2030 (not at Plant Vogtle)?
55% chance
Will any data center in the United States be powered by a nuclear reactor by Nov 2028?
82% chance
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
60% chance
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2029?
66% chance
Will the levelized cost of electricity from advanced nuclear be less than $60/MWh by 2030 (in the US)?
50% chance
Will there be an AI data center powered by new nuclear power by 2030?
73% chance