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⚠Deleted Creator

📢Resolved to NO
I understand there was discussion. However, after doing so many the past few days, I do feel it (from lessons learned), it is not fair to the predictors in the market to N/A since it was open for such a length of time. (A smidge under half the year).
If for any reason it is opposed by another mod or staff or predictor, I would appreciate using Discord since it is much quicker. If not, than comments are also fine.
We though can do better as mods and predictors moving forward to prevent any kind of issue like this that arises!

The creator has deleted their account; we're unlikely to get clarifications from them.

I'm tempted to resolve this N/A. We have other, better defined, longevity markets. Determining whether something that happened was specifically enabled by AI may be challenging - does that mean it wouldn't have happened without AI? Enable sounds like a stronger term than "assist" or something to me. What counts as immortality? When will we know? When does it have to happen by?

@traders Thoughts? If not N/A, how should we fix this question?

@EvanDaniel
(mod hat off)
This is junk. Trash it. N/A!

(mod hat on)
There has been no clarification from the creator. Also, nobody bothered to @ the creator, which may be something Manifold needs to stress more when asking something in the comments.
If the predictors were trading just on the question alone and no clarification since July 2023 and figured that this was going to resolve today, I would leave it be, Resolve it NO after it closes naturally.
I would be more likely to N/A it if it was a newer market (say roughly within 5 weeks).

@SirCryptomind @EvanDaniel I'd be more in favor of resolving this NO. Since the close date is in a few hours anyway, unless some superintelligence magically figures out how to get rid of aging and death altogether this very day, a NO resolution would be pretty safe (and it looks like the traders are treating this as a low-probability market anyways).

@duck_master looks like no breakthrough, so this is almost certain to be a NO

Does alphafold and all of the science that will build on it and on similar systems count? Or should it be something more direct?

Definitely not before Q2 2024.

Must AI enable humans to achieve immortality before this market closes? Or is this a question about the long run prospects of technology?

Needs more clarity on how much AI needs to be involved in the process.

Let's say, for example, that a team of humans develop an immortality drug, and they use AlphaFold in its current form as a tool to engineer some proteins involved in that drug. Is that sufficient to resolve YES?

@NLeseul The market closes in 4 months. If we achieve immortality by then, I will happily concede even though I bet on NO.

@MatthewLichti is it not possible for the deadline (pun intended) to be extended?