
Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?
86
1.1kṀ9459Dec 31
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
90% chance
Will Israel follow ICJ's 26 Jan non-binding ruling (to prevent genocide acts and improve humanitarian aid in Palestine)?
13% chance
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
25% chance
Will the Palestinians be genocided?
20% chance
ICJ issues provisional measures against Israel in South Africa's genocide case by April 1st, 2025
1% chance
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
20% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
10% chance
will Binyamin Netanyahu be convicted in his current trial?
43% chance
Will any country/state take China to the ICJ on charges of genocide on its Uyghur population
15% chance
Sort by:
Can you clarify whether this question refers to the preliminary order that would enjoin Israel to halt military action on the grounds there is a prima facie case for genocide OR an ultimate ruling (which may be many years away) about whether Israel is guilty of genocide? If the latter, I presume if there is no verdict, then this question resolves no?
@EdBarth I ask because the title seems to imply the latter, but your end date seems to imply the former
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
90% chance
Will Israel follow ICJ's 26 Jan non-binding ruling (to prevent genocide acts and improve humanitarian aid in Palestine)?
13% chance
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
25% chance
Will the Palestinians be genocided?
20% chance
ICJ issues provisional measures against Israel in South Africa's genocide case by April 1st, 2025
1% chance
Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)
20% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
10% chance
will Binyamin Netanyahu be convicted in his current trial?
43% chance
Will any country/state take China to the ICJ on charges of genocide on its Uyghur population
15% chance