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When will the US strategic petroleum reserve start increasing again (Q1 2027 edition)
2
Ṁ100Ṁ29
2027
February 17, 2027
38%
Before Jan 2027
45%
Before Feb 2027
52%
Before Mar 2027
54%
Before Apr 2027

The strategic petroleum reserve has been decreasing since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. It is now at 283 million barrels (compared to 415 million pre-war). When it will first see a week-on-week increase?

This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA -a historical overview is at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W (will update if the source changes). (will update if the source changes). Market resolves based on the date on the report that first reports a weekly increase (reports are typically published with a few days delay).

Historical trend as of market creation (note that this is in thousands of barrels)

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These will resolve yes even the first uptick is on the side of 2026, right?

Related markets: date range for 2026 and bets on the lowest/values, drawdowns:

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