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MANIFOLD
US Strategic Petroleum Reserve - lowest value in 2026
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
Dec 31
61%
Below 350 million
46%
Below 300 million
28%
Below 250 million
25%
Below 200 million
20%
Below 150 million

How much will US draw down on its petroleum reserves to ease the price shock from the Iran war?

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of April 24th is 397.9 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.

President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week. This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)

This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA - currently at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ under "Petroleum Balance Sheet". Directly at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf (will update if the source changes). Only values for May 2026 or later count for the question

Some historical trends below: (source: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m, note that this is in thousands of barrels)

The lowest value in recent history is 347.1 million barrels from June 2023

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Is there international agreement that major countries have signed, that in principle, all government data obtained through ".gov" websites, must be really badly organised, broken, and fundamentally anti-human to access?

In this comment thread, I'll try to post updates whenever a new datapoint is released. For May 1st (released yesterday) we have 392.7 million barrels

@AIBear May 8th: 384.1 million

@AIBear May 15th: 374.2 million