88. Will no new real-money prediction market become bigger than Polymarket in 2022?
Basic
27
Ṁ1186resolved Mar 30
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
30% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
77% chance
Will Polymarket fail by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 100 members by the end of 2024?
50% chance
Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?
61% chance
Will Polymarket crash on Election Day?
34% chance
Which prediction markets will win?
At the end of 2024, will any prediction markets have a clear lead over the others?
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform Polymarket's?
8% chance