88. Will no new real-money prediction market become bigger than Polymarket in 2022?

27

181Ṁ1186

resolved Mar 30

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

ACX 2022 Predictions

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ21
2		Ṁ15
3		Ṁ11
4		Ṁ5
5		Ṁ5

Sort by:

[ADMIN] Resolving to YES

As Mantic is not a real money market, there's no recursive issues to consider here.

O.o oops clicked on the wrong prediction

There is practically no point to buying against this trade ON manifold markets LOL, it can only resolve to no if this platform is too dead for your points to mean anything

Related questions

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?

Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?

Will Polymarket become legal and regulated in the US in 2025?

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

How many open Polymarket markets about AI at the end of 2025?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?

Related questions

Will real-money betting on Polymarket or Manifold become legal for US residents in 2025?

Will Polymarket become legal and regulated in the US in 2025?

Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

How many open Polymarket markets about AI at the end of 2025?

Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will prediction markets become popular and used by 80% of the countries of the world by 2027?

Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules