88. Will no new real-money prediction market become bigger than Polymarket in 2022?

27

181Ṁ1186

resolved Mar 30

Resolved

YES

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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[ADMIN] Resolving to YES

As Mantic is not a real money market, there's no recursive issues to consider here.

O.o oops clicked on the wrong prediction

There is practically no point to buying against this trade ON manifold markets LOL, it can only resolve to no if this platform is too dead for your points to mean anything

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Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

Polymarket exceeds $6B monthly trading volume in Sep 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $4B monthly trading volume in Dec 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $5B trading volume in March 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $4B trading volume in June 2026?

Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Related questions

Will Polymarket IPO before 2028?

Will Manifold have real money markets with at least 1% of the active liquidity of Polymarket by end of 2025?

Will Polymarket's daily trading volume reach or exceed $200 million at any point during the calendar year 2025?

Polymarket exceeds $6B monthly trading volume in Sep 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $4B monthly trading volume in Dec 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $5B trading volume in March 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $6B trading volume in June 2026?

Polymarket exceeds $4B trading volume in June 2026?

Will Polymarket reach $100B in trading volume in 2027?

Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

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