Who will be the 48th President of the USA?
61
2kṀ2619
2028
31%
JD Vance
20%
Gavin Newsom
13%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Andy Beshear
8%
Tammy Duckworth
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Other
3%
Marco Rubio
1.1%
Ron de Santis

This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 48th President of the United States, whether as the result of the 2028 elections or otherwise (ie. Vice President takes the chair).


Please note, that the question asks about the 48th POTUS.
If, for example, Ron de Santis wins the 2024 elections (47th President) and gets reelected, this market will resolve only after the 48th POTUS takes office.
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Jan 6, 9:05pm: Who will become the 48th President of the USA? → Who will become the 48th (the next next) President of the USA?

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@StevenK This answer is impossible now, correct? Unless it’s about Don Jr.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@jks I agree it's impossible. It's not really reasonable to think it's about Don Jr. because the option was made before Don Sr. was reelected, when Don Sr. would have been the obvious interpretation.

@jks I did mean Sr., and I agree that's no longer possible even extra-constitutionally, according to how I understand president numbering.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Related:

This seems to be one of those ancient markets that the math on them is broken.

@StevenK Biden as 46th implies Cleveland was both 22nd and 24th, which implies Trump could be both 45th and 48th or Biden could be both 46th and 48th.

@DavidDavidson Obama you got on the Wish 😂

@kazoo He copied his cadence perfectly

@DavidDavidson whos that

@kolotom99 He's the new minority leader of the house. After the speaker fiasco, I think Jeffries came out looking really good. For 15 straight votes he had unanimous support among all democrats. I wouldn't be surprised if his new position springboards him into the public consciousness.

Market description says "This market will resolve to the name of the person, who becomes the 46th President of the United States,” should say 48th?

@JoshuaB Thank you! Corrected

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