Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?
Plus
14
Ṁ16622025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if any US state attempts to secede from the union by Nov 5th 2025.
Resolves No if not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@BlakeD Have a stated intent to remove themselves from the US from an official source, likely the Governor.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
3% chance
Will any US county attempt to secede from the state it belongs to by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will a US city declare bankruptcy in 2024?
8% chance
Will a state in the USA attempt to secede from the union before January 2025?
9% chance
Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election?
4% chance
As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
22% chance
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
83% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
26% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2100?
59% chance
Will a U.S. state secede or declare civil war with the U.S. Federal government after January 2, 2025?
8% chance