As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
Plus
20
Ṁ22262028
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.
Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close. This includes scenarios where states merge.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
* Wall Street, Silicon Valley, Hollywood, ports, military on one side
* Main Street, abundant farmland, national parks, well-regulated militias on the other
* Ranked Choice Voting, reformed Congress with proportional representation, path to citizenship, advanced fiscal & monetary policy, green economy North of the line
* Libertarian utopia rooted in constitutional values South of the line
I honestly think a supermajority of Americans will be for this soon
Related questions
Related questions
Will any US county attempt to secede from the state it belongs to by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will any US state secede before 2050?
27% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2100?
59% chance
Will a state in the USA attempt to secede from the union before January 2025?
9% chance
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
47% chance
Will at least one state secede from the USA before the year 2100?
41% chance
Will any US state attempt to secede from the union within one year of the 2024 election?
7% chance
Will a U.S. state secede or declare civil war with the U.S. Federal government after January 2, 2025?
8% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
12% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance