I am planning to trade as follows: I will initially nudge new options (including options added by others) towards my perceived likelihood. Afterwards, I will only buy YES or sell NO to motivate myself.

Newly added options will only resolve to YES if the event they describe occurs after they are added.

I will attempt to answer your questions in the comments and provide updates on life developments that significantly affect the odds for any option, both within reasonable limits.

Inspired by: https://manifold.markets/TheAllMemeingEye/add-options-theallmemeingeye-love-l

• Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

  • Original Meeting Requirement: The option will resolve to YES only if the person was originally met in real life (IRL), not through online dating.

  • Method of Initiation: Although the date was initiated online, the requirement focuses solely on having met the person IRL; an in-person ask is not necessary.

For answers added to my markets by other users, I reserve the right to edit, interpret and resolve the ones I deem inappropriate in my favor.