I will not bet in this market to avoid incentives for dishonest resolution (with the exception of buying and immediately selling shares in options others add so they get the trader bonus).

I will attempt to give updates in the comments on life developments that significantly affect the odds for any option, within the limits of not doxxing myself or others.

Relevant context:

• I am a mid-twenties straight cisgender male living in the UK.

• My career is currently in scientific research.

• I think I look ok but I also gather that in general people perceive me as a loner weirdo.

• I am perhaps irrationally paranoid that attempting to pursue one night stands / hook-ups with total strangers I've built zero trust with would lead to me being slandered, extorted, abused, abducted, or even murdered.

• I have significant neurodivergence, most notably autism, OCD, and ADD.

• I tried online dating for the first time for a few months last year, which led to 7 matches, 3 first dates, and eventually 1 relationship, which due to unfortunate life circumstances outside our control had to end almost immediately after becoming official, and the breakup harmed my morale at work enough that I haven't attempted dating again since then.

• My friendship group consists of perhaps a half dozen distant friends, 2 close friends, and 2 close family members, is of roughly equal gender balance, and has low-to-moderate relationship success rate.

• Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided more detail on their willingness to perform a specific act, noting they are strongly not into it. However, they might be willing under two specific circumstances:

  • In exchange for a vast amount of money (as sex work), covering the suffering and costs.

  • With a partner in an otherwise very good relationship if the partner strongly desired it and strict hygiene boundaries were followed.

• Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer, 'Conditional on me having sex, my partner enjoys it':

  • This will resolve to YES if the partner enjoys it on at least one occasion in 2025. It does not need to be the first time, nor every time.

  • This will resolve to N/A if the creator does not have sex in 2025.