"Nintendo Switch 2" refers to Nintendo's next console that is rumored to be announced soon, regardless of whether it shares any ideas with the Nintendo Switch.
If you elaborate in the comments on what an answer means, please note to look at the comments in the answer text.
Market close date is provisional and may be extended or shortened.
Update 2025-04-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Paid Upgrade Editions: Edition versions of the console that require a paid upgrade will not count as a qualifying release.
This means that any 'Edition' which is essentially a paid upgrade should be disregarded when determining the outcome for the market.
Update 2025-04-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Eligibility Clarifications:
First Party Not Required: The launch title does not have to be a first party game.
Deltarune chapters 3+4 Qualify: If Deltarune chapters 3+4 are dual released on the same day as the system, they count as the launch title.
Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Mii Maker Resolution Clarification:
A Mii maker that is integrated similarly to the Nintendo Switch 1 (e.g., baked into the system settings) qualifies on launch day
There is no requirement for it to be a dedicated app with its own tile
Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Achievement System Clarification
The presence of achievements in individual games does not qualify as the console having an integrated achievement system.
As with the Nintendo Switch 1, in-game achievement features in select titles should not be interpreted as the system having its own achievement mechanism.
Update 2025-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Hardware Feature Verification:
For prop bets related to specific hardware details, if definitive public information is unavailable, the creator may resolve the outcome for that prop bet based on personal inspection of the console once obtained.
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@Robincvgr I'm happy to wait for more definitive judgement (as the biggest NO holder), the first thing I'm doing with mine is taking it apart lol. I'm sure ifixit will have a teardown/analysis very soon after launch
@retr0id cool yeah. just wanna make sure it doesnt look like im just stalling paying off my underwater loan lol
@retr0id okay yeah I might be losing here lol
the nintendo today video showing the joycons magneting into the wheel thing does not look good for the "electropermanent magnets" case. good bets
https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/switch-2-wont-have-achievements-nintendo-confirms/
IMO, a couple individual games having their own achievement systems doesn't count. A bunch of Switch 1 games have in-game achievement systems and we don't say that the Switch 1 has an achievement system
@Robincvgr does this include the type of mii maker we saw on switch where it's baked into settings (ie, mii creation just has to be possible on the system) or does it have to be a dedicated app with its own tile?
was wondering why the Zelda launch option was so low, and realized that the AI butchered one of my comments to be way more broad than just the option i was replying to...
oh well, it seems that's how traders are interpreting it, so i'll leave it that way
@Robincvgr does this have to be first party or would say, something like deltarune ch 3+4 dual releasing count? (and side question on if deltarune chapters constitute games)
Small arbitrage opportunity with this market:
https://manifold.markets/Sodra/will-any-launch-version-of-the-swit
@Tomoffer Yes, I really mean what I wrote. (and I'd include "electropermanent magnets" as a subset of electromagnets)
@retr0id https://kotaku.com/nintendo-switch-2-price-release-date-specs-1851773502
The magnetic Joy-Cons will stay attached to the console by forming an electric circuit, which is broken when pressing a button at the top, so they shouldn’t be falling off easily.
@wasabipesto But yeah sounds like either electropermanent or electromagnets to me, which both count under retr0id's definition (will obviously wait for more reliable info to resolve)
@Tomoffer "magnetic circuit" is a term of art, you can make a magnetic circuit with plain old permanent magnets
@Robincvgr I (and Kotaku) interpreted this slide indicating an electric current but after looking at it I'm less sure what they actually meant. This is from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VrTVeYm4iIM at 19 minutes in.
@wasabipesto Some wording on recent patents would also suggest electromagnetism but obviously no confirmation that they're actually using it https://www.polygon.com/nintendo-switch-2/520435/nintendo-joy-con-magnet-patent
@wasabipesto That slide what I was thinking about, "magnetic circuit" is a scientific term that doesn't necessarily imply electromagnets or electropermanent magnets, but I doubt they'd be using that term in its formal definition in something as public-facing as a Direct