Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
8
49
Ṁ66Ṁ315
2025
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves upon data from the WHO, UNICEF, or Gavi that >5 million children have been vaccinated with the primary series (3 doses >1 month apart) of the R21 malaria vaccine before January 1st, 2025. Resolves negatively if no confirmed data is available by July 1st, 2025.
1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.
More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.
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