Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
11
315Ṁ690
resolved Jul 9
Resolved
NO

  1. Resolves upon data from the WHO, UNICEF, or Gavi that >5 million children have been vaccinated with the primary series (3 doses >1 month apart) of the R21 malaria vaccine before January 1st, 2025. Resolves negatively if no confirmed data is available by July 1st, 2025.

  2. 1Day Sooner has an R21 Status Report available here that may be useful.

  3. More malaria-related questions can be found on our Manifold account here.

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Comment on the Resolve choice: 1Day Sooner's current estimates, based on publicly available tracked data, indicate that only 10.274 million doses of R21 have been delivered. This does not give us 3 doses for each of 5 million children vaccinated.

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