Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2024? | Manifold

Will China invade or blockade Taiwan by the end 2024?

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bought Ṁ184 NO

Presumably the encirclement drills don't count as a blockade because they're not actually trying to stop transit/commerce on an ongoing basis.

Or indeed on any basis

What's your definition of blockade?

predicts NO

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