Will Manifold successfully guess who I am thinking of within a week? (Insider info and mana prize for winner)
4
100Ṁ285
Jun 5
94%
chance
11

I have one person / being / character in mind and your job is to figure out who.

Everyone can ask one yes-or-no question per 1h (can be on or off topic), and I will reply with yes, no, grey area, ask you to rephrase if it's unclear, or in rare cases refuse to answer if it would reveal vitally confidential information.

If you are the first to correctly guess the answer, I'll let you know in DMs so you can bet big on YES before I tell everyone and resolve, and I'll give you 50% of the total earned new trader bonuses.

I will not bet on this market to maintain neutrality.

Inspired by the recent wave of similar markets.

MD5 hash: 3e1f10a49d239a95a375dd4e1528343e

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@bohaska I'm very very sorry, but I made a mistake. Their name does not start with that. I'm very sorry, and here's a clue because I was wrong: The name starts in W, X or Y

Are they most well known for a YouTube channel?

Is it Writer?

@jcb Yes, that is the answer. Feel free to ask anything till June 5th

bought Ṁ30 YES

Area they currently ranked in the top 20 in their gold league group?

bought Ṁ25 YES

Does their name start with X?

Is their mana net worth greater than 600k?

Did you mean mana balance as in unspent mana, or net worth?

@spiderduckpig unspent mana

Are they in the gold league currently?

I have a suspicion that their balance changed recently.

Here's a list of everyone with a balance between 100k and 300k, from https://pxidrgkatumlvfqaxcll.supabase.co/rest/v1/users?balance=gt.100000&balance=lt.300000, then filter for people whose usernames start with N-T:
...

"na_pewno",

"nsokolsky",

"optimusprime",

"palcu",

"parhizj",

"patio11",

"patrissimo",

"qmk",

"riverwalk3",

"salexashenko",

"seemaster",

"shankypanky",

"ssh",

"stranger",

"transmissions11",

...

I've checked each of them individually and they don't have a net worth >500k

@bohaska I'm very very sorry, but I made a mistake. Their name does not start with that. I'm very sorry, and here's a clue because I was wrong: The name starts in W, X or Y

Does their username (excluding the @) start with one of the consonants in the part of the alphabet N-Q (inclusive)?


@ChristopherD See pinned comment

Have they made over 100 markets on Manifold?

Are they in the diamond league currently?

Is their Mana net worth greater than 700K?

Does their username (excluding the @) start with one of the consonants in the part of the alphabet N-T (inclusive)?

@ChristopherD EDIT: Very sorry, correct answer is no.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy