How many times will Trump be impeached during his second term? | Manifold

How many times will Trump be impeached during his second term?

21

Ṁ1kṀ4.5k

2027

0.95 times

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

62%

Above 0

13%

Above 1

10%

Above 2

8%

Above 3

8%

Above 4

6%

Above 5

6%

Above 6

5%

Above 7

4%

Above 8

3%

Above 9

Impeached by the house, Senate conviction vote doesn't matter for this market

Trump's Second Term

Republican Party

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Just to be perfectly clear: all options resolve NO if he’s not impeached?

@MachiNi Correct. The “above 0” option is equivalent to this market

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