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MANIFOLD
How many times will Trump be impeached during his second term?
23
Ṁ1kṀ5.3k
2027
1.17 times
expected
75%
Above 0
26%
Above 1
12%
Above 2
8%
Above 3
8%
Above 4
6%
Above 5
6%
Above 6
5%
Above 7
4%
Above 8
3%
Above 9

Impeached by the house, Senate conviction vote doesn't matter for this market

Politics
US Politics
Trump
Trump's Second Term
Republican Party
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Just to be perfectly clear: all options resolve NO if he’s not impeached?

@MachiNi Correct. The “above 0” option is equivalent to this market

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